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August 30, 2011

Tropical Storm Katia likely to be hurricane in days

Tropical Depression 12, as forecast, became Tropical Storm Katia overnight. And forecasters at the National Hurricane Center say she will reach hurricane force by late Wednesday or early Thursday.

Looking farther down the road, forecast models have Katia reaching Cat. 3 ("major") hurricane strength by the weekend.

For now, Katia poses no threat to land. At 11 a.m. the NHC put the storm 630 miles west southwest of the Cape Verde Islands off West Africa. The highest sustained winds were 45 mph, with more strengthening expected as the storm gets better organized.

Katia was moving to the west northwest at 18 mph, a course that was expected to continue for at least 48 more hours.

Forecast models show the storm eventually approaching the Bahamas. One then curves it to the north before reaching the East Coast of the U.S.  

Here is the latest advisory for Katia. Here is the forecast discussion. And here are the forecast tracks.

NOTE TO READERS: Thanks for reading the Maryland Weather Blog! We had 248,000 page views last week, second only to Raven Insider.  

Posted by Frank Roylance at 11:06 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: Hurricanes


One of the better websites to check, in terms of ease of use and good information is It presents satellite imaging as well as forecast path etc - essential for hurricane planning!

Also, this site:

FR REPLIES: Pretty simple, but it works.

Frank - do we have any guesstimates as to when Katia will move through/past our area?

No surprise to me that your blog gets so many hits, as you do a great job. Many thanks!!

FR REPLIES: Thanks! If it gets this far, probably not until late next week sometime. Awfully far out to say precisely.

What would we call 2 back-to-back hurricanes striking this area? Hurrigeddon? Hurrpocolypse? We have snowmageddon for the twin blizzards last year.

BigDragon: My vote would simply be a four letter word - He##

The big high pressure moving in will affect the hurricane's path. The timing will be interesting. I'm leaving for OC next weekend - might have some excitement!

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff

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