Tropical Depression 12 forms in the Atlantic
A new tropical depression has formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Forecasters expect it will become Tropical Storm Katia later today, and strengthening to hurricane force by Thursday as it steams to the west-northwest in the mid-Atlantic.
Tropical Depression 12, as it's being called for now, was located this morning about 395 miles south southwest of the Cape Verde Islands - off West Africa - putting it in a class of storms known as Cape Verdean Hurricanes. They are the ones that tend to pose the greatest threat to the East Coast as we move into the peak of the hurricane season. The map above shows where the various forecast models take it in the next few days.
Here's AccuWeather.com's Henry Margusity on the storm's prospects.
TD12 is moving south of a high-pressure ridge in the mid-Atlantic that will keep it from curving north for a while longer. Forecasters are saying that, while the ridge will weaken some in the coming days, it is expected to restrengthen, "which should result in a continued west-northwest motion..."
Here is the latest advisory on the storm. Here is the forecast discussion. And here is the forecast storm track.








Comments
Frank - that's a great screenshot of the potential tracks for TD-12... can you tell us where that comes from?
FR REPLIES: Jeff Halverson, at UMBC sent it to me. It's from stormpulse.com
Posted by: LC | August 29, 2011 12:53 PM
Frank-Which hurricanes in the past were the same type? Thanks! I enjoy your posts.
FR: You mean Cape Verdean storms? Irene was one. So was Isabel in 2003 and Floyd in 1999. Gloria in 1985. Donna in 1960. Here's Wikipedia article with more. http://bsun.md/qCSCXl
Posted by: Kristine Carter | August 29, 2011 4:16 PM
Frank - Thanks for the source of the track info.
Posted by: LC | August 29, 2011 4:43 PM