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December 30, 2010

Snow contest update

I finally got around to organizing the entries to our 2010-11 Snow Contest, in which clever readers try to guess the total snow accumulations for the season (through March 15) at BWI-Marshall Airport.

We have a grand total of 68 participants, including Angel Hernandez, of Easton, winner of our Dec. 26 snowfall BaltimoreGuess How Many 90-degree Days Contest last summer. The snow guesses range from a low of 7 inches (Ms. Nash) to a whopping 65 inches (Ken Marsh). The record was set last winter at 77 inches.

We have four potential ties - at 10 inches ("Henry" and Diane Goldbloom); 13.6 inches (Rick and Zevonista); 22.2 inches (Kevin and Eric), and 36 inches (David G. and Therese). But everyone else has staked out his or her own territory, some down to two decimal places.

As you'll recall, the 30-year average for BWI is 18 inches. Many of the entries - more than a third - are clustered, predictably, in the 16-to-23-inch range. Angel's guess for the snow contest, in case you're wondering, is a just-a-little-snowier-than-average 22 inches.

But so far this winter we've recorded a not-too-impressive 1.2 inches of snow at the airport. January and February average a bit more than 13 inches combined. So those who guessed low can take some comfort in the pace through December.

The person who comes closest without going over will be our winner. I'll keep you posted as the snow totals accumulate. But as the new year opens, we'll need a 6-incher just to reach our lowest guess. The forecast for Sunday calls for rain.

(SUN PHOTO: Dec. 26 snowfall - a trace - in Baltimore, Algerina Perna)

Posted by Frank Roylance at 3:25 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: Notes to readers
        

Comments

I guess proper gamesmanship would dictate waiting until the last moment, and then guessing barely above a pack and below a gap. I just had to throw out a personal opinion, though, based on the UK getting slammed early both last year and this, that this year will be similar to last Winter.

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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