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September 29, 2010

Nicole dissipates, but its rain is still en route

The National Hurricane Center says Tropical Storm Nicole, never a well-organized system, has now dissipated. But the moisture it captured from the Caribbean in recent days is still being swept NOAA/NHC Nicole plumenorth in a heavy plume that will feed our rainfall overnight and Thursday.

National Weather Service meteorologist Brandon Peloquin said this afternoon, "It's pretty certain that everyone will receive rain, and a decent amount of rain" from the storm. The official forecast is still for 2 to 4 inches across most of the region, with higher amounts along a rain "axis" that's currently forecast to set up along the Blue Ridge.

"The morning rush hour will probably be a mess, because we expect heavy rain to be falling at that point," he said. It's likely to be raining still into the afternoon, tapering off "toward the end of the evening rush hour."

Flash Flood Watches remain in effect from Cumberland east. There's also a Coastal Flood Watch in place for the Western Shore of the Chesapeake Bay. The southeast winds are expected to drive water into the creeks and rivers, boosting high tide predictions by 2 to 3 feet with "moderate" flooding.

Wilmington, N.C. has received more than 5 inches of rain so far today, on top of a foot since Monday.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 5:22 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: Forecasts


How does last year's Oct Nor' Easter match up with Nichole? Worse/same/undetermined?

FR: Off the top of my head, if the forecast holds up, this one looks like it will deliver a similar amount of rain, but over a much shorter period, which means a greater risk of flooding. We got about 3 inches at BWi over three days last Oct. 15-17. And it was cold, in the 40s.

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff

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