baltimoresun.com

« UPDATE: BWI hits 90 again, sets record | Main | Dr. Frankenstein ... Igor is here to see you »

September 8, 2010

Heat, fire and flood ahead ... then Igor?

Sounds pretty dire, doesn't it? Fortunately, the reality isn't quite so bad.

The National Weather Service forecasters out at Sterling think today's high might rise into the upper 80s, Satellite Chesapeakefalling somewhere short of the 90-degree mark. Of course, they said the same thing yesterday, and we slipped through to 91 degrees at BWI-Marshall, establishing a new record for the most 90-degree days in one year.

In any case, a glance at the 7-day forecast will tell you we're not likely to get anywhere near 90 after today, at least for a while. The cold front passing by today will drop daytime highs into the 70s, and the warmup this weekend will barely take us to the 80s. Could this be the beginning of the end of the hottest summer ever in Baltimore?

The cold front comes with some double-digit windy conditions today, and that - plus the dry weather and tinder-dry conditions in the woods and fields - has forecasters concerned about the spread of wildfires in Maryland. There is a Fire Weather Watch up from 10 a.m. until 6 p.m. Wednesday for the entire forecast area west of the Chesapeake:

"WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 AND 25 MPH
WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DECREASE TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WITH THESE CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER AN AREA WITH VERY
LOW FUEL MOISTURE THIS W
ILL PRODUCE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
THE SPREAD OF FIRES."

UPDATE: The Fire Weather Watch has been replaced with a Red Flag Warnings until 7 p.m. for most of the state, from Allegany County west to the Upper Shore, and south to Prince George's and Arundel counties. Much of southeastern Pennsylvania and southern and central New Jersey are also included. Here what the warning means:

"A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL."

If that's not enough excitement for the Weather Page, we also have a Coastal Flood Advisory for the western shore of the Chesapeake. South winds will be pushing water up the bay, producing minor tidal flooding this morning in the usual most flood-prone locations. Don't get your feet wet.

Down in the tropics, there is one minor disturbance in the Caribbean - the remnants of Tropical Storm Gaston - that hurricane forecasters are noting. But there is more interest in a new area of storms in the far eastern Atlantic, near the Cape Verde Islands. Hurricane watchers are giving that one a 50 percent shot at becoming a named tropical system within 48 hours.

If it comes to life, the new storm will be named ... really ... Igor.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 7:29 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: Forecasts
        

Comments

Is that pronounced "ee-gor" or "eye-gor"?
(Ha!)

FR: It's "EE-gor," not "eye-gor." And it's not "Fronk-en-steen," either.

Hello,

Do you have any stats on droughts for this region? Longest period without measurable rain, what causes these droughts, how long is this one expected to last, etc? Your weather knowledge is so extensive I figured you must have some of that data and it would be interesting to learn.

By the way, my math was off in my previous post, we are at day 27 in Middletown since our last measurable rain event. The ten day forecast looks like we will reach 40 days at a minimum. Given our town uses a well for our water supply, it could get real dicey soon ):

FR: I don't have that data at my fingertips, but I'll see what I can find.

89 degrees at noon. Looks like another record is coming. I guess if we're going to have a new annual days over 90 degree record, it might as well be a good one.

"The National Weather Service forecasters out at Sterling think today's high might rise into the upper 90s, falling somewhere short of the 90-degree mark." Frank, I assume you mean to say "upper 80s?"

Adding to the record, isn't it currently 90 at BWI today (Wednesday)?

FR: Bad typing. Thanks. I've fixed the error. And yes, BWI at 1 p.m. was reporting 91 degrees. Yesterday's new record for the most days of 90-degree weather in a calendar year (55) lasted about 24 hours. Assuming the reading becomes official, the new record is 56 days. But there's a cold front coming, and we should stay out of the 90s, at least for the next week or so.

Post a comment

All comments must be approved by the blog author. Please do not resubmit comments if they do not immediately appear. You are not required to use your full name when posting, but you should use a real e-mail address. Comments may be republished in print, but we will not publish your e-mail address. Our full Terms of Service are available here.

Verification (needed to reduce spam):

About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
-- ADVERTISEMENT --

Sign up for FREE weather alerts*
Get free Baltimore Sun mobile alerts
Sign up for weather text alerts
SKY NOTES WEATHER

Returning user? Update preferences.
Sign up for more Sun text alerts
*Standard message and data rates apply. Click here for Frequently Asked Questions.
Maryland Weather Center


Area Weather Stations
Resources and Sun coverage
• Weather news

• Readers' photos

• Data from the The Sun's weather station

• 2011 stargazers' calendar

• Become a backyard astronomer in five simple steps

• Baltimore Weather Archive
Daily airport weather data for Baltimore from 1948 to today

• National Weather Service:
Sterling Forecast Office

• Capital Weather Gang:
Washington Post weather blog

• CoCoRaHS:
Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network. Local observations by volunteers

• Weather Bug:
Webcams across the state

• National Data Buoy Center:
Weather and ocean data from bay and ocean buoys

• U.S. Drought Monitor:
Weekly maps of drought conditions in the U.S.

• USGS Earthquake Hazards Program:
Real-time data on earthquakes

• Water data:
From the USGS, Maryland

• National Hurricane Center

• Air Now:
Government site for air quality information

• NWS Climate Prediction Center:
Long-term and seasonal forecasts

• U.S. Climate at a Glance:
NOAA interactive site for past climate data, national, state and city

• Clear Sky Clock:
Clear sky alerts for stargazers

• NASA TV:
Watch NASA TV

• Hubblesite:
Home page for Hubble Space Telescope

• Heavens Above:
Everything for the backyard stargazer, tailored to your location

• NASA Eclipse Home Page:
Centuries of eclipse predictions

• Cruise Critic: Hurricane Zone:
Check to see how hurricanes may affect your cruise schedule

• Warming World:
NASA explains the science of climate change with articles, videos, “data visualizations,” and space-based imagery.

• What on Earth:
NASA blog on current research at the space agency.
Most Recent Comments
Blog updates
Recent updates to baltimoresun.com news blogs
 Subscribe to this feed
Charm City Current
Stay connected