Will we get snow on Dec. 5?
It's that time of year again, when the WeatherBlog speculates about the chances for snow on Dec, 5. Why Dec. 5?
Well, because we've noticed a curious pattern - or coincidence - about some of the earliest snowfalls in Baltimore. It's just this: In five of the last seven years, Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport has recorded snow - at least a trace of snow - on Dec. 5. And it's snowed in six of the last seven years if you fudge the criteria a bit and include Dec. 6.
Here are the stats:
2008: None (but we got 0.6 inch on the 6th)
2007: 4.7 inches
2005: 1.4 inches (and another 1.9 inches on the 6th)
2004: None (something went terribly wrong)
2003: 3.0 inches (and another 3.8 inches on the 6th)
2002: 7.4 inches (and a trace on the 6th).
Okay, so there's probably no real science attached to this. Call it folklore. Local folklore (it sounds nice coming off the tongue). But it fits in nicely with the season, and our inevitable anticipation of the first snowfalls.
That said, the long-range forecast for Saturday (the 5th) is not very promising: Mostly sunny with a high of 42 degrees. We may need to call for a pajama campaign to pull it off this year. Kids? Better turn those jammies inside-out this week.
If anyone has some other family snow charms that have worked for you in the past, let's hear about them. Looks like we're going to need them this year.