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November 8, 2009

Mr. Foot sees "smackdown" storm coming

I missed this when it appeared last week. Some kind of problem with my "Favorites" list. Anyway, Mr. Foot, a Baltimore County science teacher and Maryland weather watcher much-consulted by county teachers and students eager for a snow break in winter time, is forecasting a "smackdown" storm here by mid-month.

Says he: David Hobby/Sun Photo

"I've maintained a position that the atmosphere is primed and ready to deliver, all we wait for now is "Only Time." I realize we haven't dug out the Thanksgiving decorations yet, but I can't resist the urge to tell you that before long, we will be reveling in the sight of "White in the Winter Night."

Here's the sequence for his early-season prognostications:

11/01-09: A mild to cool period then brief warmup

 * 11/10-15: Possible outbreak of Arctic air on or before 11/15

 * In same week, a "smackdown" storm with snow at the onset

 * 11/15-25: "yo-yo" period of below then above-normal temps

 * 11/25-12/5: Seasonal temps leading to kickoff event by 12/5.

To read the rest of his forecast, visit his blog, here.

(SUN PHOTO/David Hobby/McHenry, Md., October 2006)

Posted by Frank Roylance at 7:23 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: Winter weather


Blog is blocked.

FR: Not sure why that happened. I've redone the link. Seems to be working now. Thanks.

Greetings Frank, and I'm honored that you would devote an actual headline to me.. I only hope reality will match the projection and hence justify your confidence in my forecast

I do find it ironic that computer models began calling for a major coastal storm
(after I made my look ahead call).. then they "lost" the storm. Now Ida is here and sure enough, we may end up with the same idea originally called for in the 11/11-13 time frame.

So if it happens, that will be our smackdown storm... only the snow might be at the tail end, not at the onset.

what are you calling for this week as far as the snow

FR: I don't do forecasts. I'm a reporter, not a meteorologist. But at last check, the NWS was calling for at least 5 inches. But that's simply because they believe the storm will meet Winter Storm Watch criteria, which is 5 inches or more. It's floor, or a minimum. Actual accumulation predictions should be out later today. In the meantime, other forecasters are looking for 10-12 inches or more in Baltimore. Will likely be wetter, with less accumulation to our south. I'll be posting on this as little later this morning. There's also a story in today's Sun, both print and online.

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff

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