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October 12, 2009

Sunny Tuesday, but then weather goes downhill

Rainy October day in Baltimore 

It looks like Tuesday will be the day to beat this week. Today, we'll be stuck under this overcast for most of the day, with temperatures likely to struggle to to get out of the 50s. That's as much as 10 degrees below the long-term averages for Baltimore at this time of year.

But as a cold front slips by early Tuesday, we'll get some gusty northwest winds. Skies will clear off, the sun will shine and temperatures will climb toward 70 degrees - the high point of the week.

Then, as the high pressure system moves off the coast, the forecast takes a downhill turn. A storm system over the central plains will move our way, increasing rain chances on Wednesday. We'll be stuck in the low- to mid-50s from Wednesday through Friday as a coastal low forms to sustain our cool, rainy forecast into the weekend.

Things should begin to clear off on Saturday, with Sunday the best bet for the weekend, if the forecast holds. Look for sunny skies on Sunday, with a high near 60 degrees.

(BALTIMORE SUN PHOTO/Amy Davis October 2002)

Posted by Frank Roylance at 10:55 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: Forecasts
        

Comments

Frank,
What are the predictions like for the coming winter season? I always like it when you synopsize the various long range forecasts side by side, makes for a very interesting read. And with your expertise in all things weather as exampled by this blog...are you a mythologist or rather do you report what others (individuals and organizations) predict?

FR: I am neither a mythologist nor a meteorologist. I am a science writer with two or three decades of this stuff under my belt. I rely mostly on the National Weather Service for the forecast comments here. As for the winter, it's a little early yet. AccuWeather is due to release a seasonal forecast this week. The NWS long range forecast shows no clear trends for this winter, which would suggest a more-or-less average winter. But in the context of recent mild and snow-deprived winters here, an average winter would seem snowy and cold. There is also the El Nino logic, which says that in El Nino winters (like this one coming up) we are more likely to see coastal storms. And if those happen to strike when the mid-Atlantic coast is experiencing a cold snap, that could mean a decent snowstorm or two. Only time will tell for sure.

Thanks for the feedback. Darn spell check! Correct spelling wrong word, quess thats why editors make the big bucks!!
Thanks Frank, I really enjoy your blog, first thing I read every morning. Well except Mondays then I have to review Preston's Report Card.

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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