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August 7, 2009

Still waiting for the "A" storm

Hurricane Gustav 2002

All these nice names on the shelf and not a single tropical storm to claim them: Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny and 17 more names for the tropical storms and hurricanes that might pop up in the Atlantic basin this season. And here we are, Aug. 7, and still nothing.

Sure, it's good thing. These storms can wreak terrible damage, kill and maim. But still, it's curious. And the National Hurricane Center says we're not even close to setting a record for the latest-occurring "A" storm.

If you look at all the records dating back to 1851 - before the age of satellite observations - the latest first tropical storm to form took shape on Sept. 15. That was in 1914. The latest first storm to spin to hurricane force was detected on Oct. 8, 1905. They didn't give storms names back then - at least not the way we do today.

If you consider only the years since 1966, when satellite observations became comprehensive - presumably picking up more storms that don't happen to blow past ships at sea or coastal weather stations - the latest first tropical storm to form in the basin was Arlene, which was detected on Aug. 30, 1967. The latest first hurricane was Gustav, which reached hurricane strength on Sept. 11, 2002.

Forecasters say El Nino's likely to blame. The Pacific Ocean phenomenon sets up wind shear patterns in the Atlantic that can cut off hurricane development. (2002 was a "moderate" El Nino year, too. But 1967 was a weak La Nina year.)

So it's quiet. For now.

(NASA PHOTO/Gustav 2002)

 

Posted by Frank Roylance at 3:41 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: Hurricane background
        

Comments

I was really hoping they'd make it to "K" this year. I guess I'll be the only Hurricane Kate to hit the Atlantic Ocean this year...

FR: If these guys are right, K will be a stretch this year. But you'd likely get another shot in 2015, when the 2009 name list recycles.

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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