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August 11, 2009

Second tropical depression forms in Atlantic

NOAA 

It's been nearly two-and-a-half months since the season's first tropical depression formed in the Atlantic Ocean on May 28. The first one - TD-1 - faded away without ever becoming a named tropical storm. But the second one - TD-2 (who could have guessed it?) - may have a better shot at becoming Tropical Storm Ana.

Located about 200 miles west of the Cape Verde islands, TD-2 "could" become a named storm within a couple of days as it churns westward across the Atlantic, forecasters say. It poses no immediate risk to any land mass. (That's TD-2 crossing 30-degrees West in the satellite image above.)

Here is the latest advisory. Here is the forecast storm track.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 10:03 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: Hurricanes
        

Comments

It has been an amazingly quiet year for severe tropical storms and hurricanes. Perhaps the dire predictions for increasingly severe storm systems was a made a bit too prematurely. This is one reason why you need to gather substantial data over a long period of time to make such predictions, and even then you can be wrong. This is an important lesson for kids working on weather science fair projects to learn.

FR: Not really. June and July are normally fairly quiet. This season is only "quiet" compared with some unusually busy recent years. And the data are already in, showing a multi-decadal period of increased Atlantic storm activity began in 1995. And there's no need to invoke global warming to explain it. It's a well-documented Atlantic cycle.

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page.

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