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June 3, 2009

Storms coming, flash flood watch posted

UCAR/NOAA 

So maybe you haven't had enough rain yet. In that case, we have a fine day - a fine couple of days - in store for you.

A cold front approaching from the north and west today (line of clouds in the satellite image above) will serve as the trigger for showers and thunderstorms across the region. When that's done, we can look forward to a storm system developing around a low in the Carolinas that will likely bring us a more steady rain by Friday as it creeps up the coast. 

The weekend, at least, looks nice.

Today's storms are most likely after 2 p.m. and into the evening. Some could become severe, with large hail, damaging winds and heavy rain - a quarter to a half-inch. The ground around Baltimore is saturated enough from recent rains that if today's rain rates top 1.5 to 2 inches an hour in the Baltimore, we will see flash flooding, forecasters say.

"It's going to be quite a busy day," one Sterling forecaster said. Here's the Northeast radar loop.

Flash flood watches are posted from Frederick to Harford counties, throughout central and southern Maryland and down into DC and Northern Virginia. The watches are in effect from noon through late tonight.

Once the front gets by us and stalls again near the Virginia/North Carolina border, the atmosphere around Baltimore will become more stable, and much cooler. But things will remain wet if the forecast holds up. They're calling for periods of showers and afternoon thunderstorms again, but with afternoon highs only in the 60s - about 20 degrees cooler than today's highs.

By Friday we will come under the influence of the Carolina low, which will pump more Gulf and Caribbean moisture into the region as it slides up the coast. That will mean a more prolonged period of rain for Maryland, especially east of the Blue Ridge.

We'll start to dry out on Saturday, with mostly sunny skies and highs near 80 degrees on both days. Then the next frontal system arrives, bringing a return of showery weather for the new work week. 

Posted by Frank Roylance at 10:27 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Forecasts
        

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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