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September 12, 2008

Showers today, Ike's remnants Monday

NOAA

Weather disturbances traveling along the stalled frontal boundary that's draped across the Northeast (the dark blue swath on the national radar map above) will mean showers and thunderstorms as the day goes by today. Sunday looks partly sunny, forecasters say, but there's more rain in store Monday as the remnants of Hurricane Ike (scary red blob above) are swept across the Southeast, along the front, to the mid-Atlantic states.

First, we can expect up to a quarter-inch of rain today, and more of the same tonight as the first storms move through, forecasters say. Some spots under thunderstorms could see more. There are still some abnormally dry conditions on the Eastern Shore, so more rain is welcome for now. The rain chances continue on Saturday, but the probabilities diminish.

You can blame the southerly winds, which are blowing more mild, moist air into the region, where it is running up against cooler air to the north, fueling the precipitation.

Sunday looks partly sunny and very warm, with afternoon highs crowding 90 degrees. Quite a surprise after enjoying three days in the 70s.

Then Ike's moisture moves in late on Sunday and Monday, accelerating out of the lower Mississippi Valley and getting absorbed by low pressure along the cold front. No estimates yet on where, exactly, the bulk of the rain will fall, or how much to expect. My guess is that, with all the damage we're likely to be reading about in Texas, nobody will pay any attention to our rain.

By late Monday the cold front finally will have pushed through, bringing cooler, drier air down from the Great Lakes. We should see sunny skies through the middle of the week, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, and overnight lows in the 50s.

So, what's that other red stuff on the radar, southeast of Florida? Those are the disorganized remnants of Tropical Storm Josephine. Some "slow development" is forecast as the bad weather moves north-northwest. Stay tuned.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 11:04 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: Forecasts
        

Comments

I don't know if you have shared this or not, but here is the URL for the Nasa page that has hi-res pictures of Ike. Impressive pictures.

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/multimedia/hurr_ike091008.html

Mr. Roylance-
I enjoyed your writings on "monster" storms and the hysteria that is so prominent in weather reporting nowadays. I live in Baltimore, a town that goes into 24/7 news coverage and subsequent wide spread panic at the mention of a snowflake. I'm not sure when we made this shift to over-exaggerated weather reporting but, I for one wish it would let up. Yes, some of these storms are dangerous. We provide the best, up to date info we can but, after that - it's weather. It's been storming and snowing on this planet for billions of years. Why we seem to take these events as some sort of attack on humanity I do not know. Invariably after every hurricane we get someone on the news who cannot understand why a hurricane would choose to hit the area where THEY built a house. I mean, don't those hurricanes know better?! It's weather folks. Deal with it, embrace it and do your best to get out of the way, because it really doesn't care whether you're there or not.

William Bull
Baltimore, MD

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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