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September 26, 2008

Rain here falls short of forecast


Woke up to thunder and lightning this morning, soon followed by a torrential shower. But it does not look like we got as much rain overnight as forecasters said we might - at least not in the Baltimore area. The Eastern Shore saw 1 to 2 inches, as predicted.

We recorded 0.22 inch here at Calvert & Centre streets in downtown Baltimore. I had about a half-inch out on the WeatherDeck in Cockeysville. BWI airport reported about a third of an inch. Here’s a map of overnight rainfall as reported by NWS volunteer weather observers. Looks like some locations in Southern Maryland and in Northern Virginia saw more than an inch.

Here is the CoCoRaHS Website with their reports. Among the highlights are:

Leonardtown:  1.97 inches

Berlin: 1.83 inches

Bishopville: 1.69 inches

Salisbury: 1.59 inches

Princess Anne: 1.11 inches

We’re in for a couple more days of gray skies and occasional showers, with an isolated thunderstorm or two to spice things up. The problem is the persistent northeast flow of air around the storm that went ashore near Myrtle Beach, S.C. last night. It’s bringing us cool, wet air off the Atlantic.

Once the storm - now well inland in South Carolina - turns itself around and scoots off to the northeast, things will start to improve. We can expect the rain risks and drizzle to persist through Sunday, I’m afraid. Things won’t start to clear out until Monday. And then more rain returns by mid-week.

We’re looking at the coolest weather of the season so far after the middle of next week, with lows in the 40s and highs only in the 60s through the end of the week, forecasters said.

The tropics, in the meantime, seem to have revived a bit. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are watching Tropical Storm Kyle, now about 450 miles south-southwest of Bermuda, headed north-northwest at 13 mph. The island has issued Tropical Storm Warnings, but Kyle’s strongest winds are expected to stay well west of the resort.

NOAAKyle’s top sustained winds were measured at 60 mph this morning, and there was some chance the storm could reach hurricane strength on Saturday.

Forecasters have alerted interests in New England and Canada’s Maritime Provinces to keep a close eye on Kyle. The storm is not seen as a threat to the Middle Atlantic coast. But we should expect a continuation of rough surf conditions at the beaches.

Here is the latest advisory on Kyle. Here is the forecast storm track. And here is the view from space.

Two other stormy areas are being watched - one in the middle of the Atlantic, and another in the Bay of Campeche, west of the Yucatan Peninsula. Neither shows much promise of becoming a tropical storm.

My apologies for a late post today. Our blog platform has been overwhelmed by traffic and inaccessible. I’m told that a fix is in the works.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 12:38 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Forecasts

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff

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