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September 2, 2008

Hanna "could be a major hurricane"

NOAA

Hurricane Hanna, which is still dawdling south of the Bahamas and just north of Haiti, is expected to strengthen this week, turn and head up the East Coast. It could be a "major" hurricane at landfall, according to this morning's discussion at the National Hurricane Center.

"Major" is NHC shorthand for a Cat. 3 storm or stronger - with top sustained winds of 111 mph or more.

The 5-day forecast track for Hanna (above) now sends it ashore in South Carolina, with its remnants passing just west of the Chesapeake Bay by late Saturday. If that forecast holds - a big IF - it would be the recipe for some serious rainfall this weekend. And if Hanna retains its counterclockwise rotation, it could also mean some significant storm surge up the bay. Probably not on the scale of Isabel's remnants in 2003, but most definitely something to watch.

Here is the latest advisory on Hanna. You have the storm track above. And here is the view from space.

Ike is now a tropical storm in the central Atlantic Ocean. Here's the latest on him. And the storm track.

And that other tropical wave that was coming off the African coast yesterday is now a tropical depression - No. 10 for the season. It is expected to become a hurricane by this weekend - Josephine if nothing else pops up in the meantime. That will be on next week's agenda.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 7:45 AM | | Comments (8)
Categories: Hurricanes
        

Comments

Being only 16 and never have been in a hurricane this really freaks me out. And this past week i have had THE worst luck and im hoping that hurricane hanna doesnt bring the worst of my troubles.

FR: Not to worry, Erika. Even if it does reach Maryland, this storm will be much weakened by its trek overland from landfall - perhaps in the Carolinas. We may see lots of rain and blustery winds. But it won't be anything like the TV pictures of a direct hit. Maryland has only taken a direct landfall twice since they began keeping track. Bad things can happen here. But it's pretty rare.

I am only ten but I had my familyies house taken away by the last hurricane. I don't want that to happen again. It is so frightening to her about hurricane hannah. ♦

im scared. i dont live anyone where near maryland but, i have someone dear to me there.

I would not be to concerned about this storm up in Md. I am from north of Baltimore, but I now live in S.C. where this storm is scheduled to make landfall Friday. There is no since of panic among S.C. residents, but almost 19 years ago to the week, we were hit by what was then the strongest hurricane since records were kept, Hugo.I am a 43 y.o veteran, and I am scared of hurricanes of any size. That was a very strong storm, and we are all weary of hurricanes down here. I am looking for you guys to get some rain and winds, much like a moderate thunderstorm. As for us, we are expecting a cat.1 storm which is a storm with sustained winds of 74 m.p.h. with higher gust. As for now we are playing the waiting game. This has been a strange storm to follow. I have my sisters up there and my neices and their families also. I wish you all well and I would just prepare for loss of power for a short time and hope for the best but be prepared for anything. That is alll any of us can do.
Good Luck, and stay safe. Thanks for your news reports too.

You people here are taking it much more seriously than the people living in Florida (which I think is great). For the most part, they are just laughing down there.

I am suppose to go on a camping trip with my horses in Whitmire Sc do you think we should cancel our trip or will we be far enough away,it is 190 miles from Conway sc?

FR:Can't help you without knowing when you're going, how long you're staying. I'd suggest checking the local weather report for the town you'll be camping in.

We should only see, if any lots of rain, with shaking trees, and maybe thunder, with some tiny flooded areas from Hanna in Harford Couny/MD. But being prepared for the worst always helps.

Im live in westcherster new york and i am 12 years old. I have been researching hurricane Hannah and i am a bit confused because some web sites are saying that this is going to be a major hurricane and others say it will be the oppisite. so how can i tell what is true? can you help me find the really facts?

FR: Hi Steph. I don't know of anyone who has predicted recently that Hanna would be a "major" hurricane. There was some talk like that early in the week. But Hanna has struggled to hold herself together. Check the post dates of whatever you are reading. Hanna is currently just a tropical storm, with top winds of 70 mph. To be any kind of hurricane, those winds have to reach 74 mph. And Hanna is no longer expected to get that strong. To be a "major" hurricane, it would have to have top sustained winds of 111 mph. No chance. You may be confusing Hanna with Ike, another storm now in the Atlantic. Ike has been a "major" storm for days, and could make landfall as a major storm. But we hope not. The most reliable information on these storms comes from the National Hurricane Center. Go to: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ And remember, if its top winds are less than 111 mph, it's not a "major" storm. Good luck.

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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