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September 3, 2008

A turn to the north for Hanna

Tropical Storm Hanna seems to have pounded Haiti and its unfortunate people long enough. Forecasters say the storm finally seems to have made her long-predicted turn to the north. Maybe. Top sustained winds remain at about 60 mph, but the old girl is getting bigger, and some strengthening is still expected in the next day or two as the storm heads for the U.S. mainland.

Hanna has been hammered by wind shear, which has left her a bit disheveled and disorganized. But she is still predicted to get ahold of herself and regain hurricane strength and get a wiggle on today and tomorrow, reaching the Carolinas early Saturday. Here's AccuWeather.com's predictably more eager assessment.

Here's our forecast. We here in central Maryland seem to have a 10 to 20-percent chance of seeing tropical-storm-force winds in the next five days. Ocean City's risk goes to 40 percent.

NASA's hurricane page reports that South Carolina's governor is warning that coastal evacuations are possible there, and the National Guard may be activated:

"In Georgia voluntary evacuations of Georgia’s barrier islands and low-lying coastal areas may begin today, Wednesday, Sept. 3. Meanwhile, federal, state and local emergency response teams, the American Red Cross were already preparing for Hanna's arrival."

Here is the latest Hanna advisory. Here is the storm track. The centerline in the "cone of uncertainty" now takes Hanna off the coast as she passes our latitude. If the storm does take that track (it could still come up the west side of the bay) that's good news for those worried about storm winds piling water northward into the bay. It also takes the strongest winds offshore. 

And here is the looped view from space. Below is a NASA photo of Hanna, shot yesterday by the Earth-Observing Aqua satellite.

NOAA

 

Posted by Frank Roylance at 12:38 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: Hurricanes
        

Comments

Im so tired of this hurrican mess.Its starting to make me real upset.

FR: Well, is it really a "hurricane mess?" Hurricanes, after all, have always been here. Maybe it's a "Too many of us are living and building (and re-building) too close to the water" mess.

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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