Fay rains here by Thursday?
Tropical Storm Fay is moving so slowly, it's not easy to figure out where her rains will be three days from now, let alone a week. The "cone of uncertainty" in the map above indicates the storm's center could be anywhere from the northern Gulf of Mexico to central Mississippi by Sunday.
But forecasters dealing with the extended forecast have been consulting their computer models and making some guesses. And there seems to be at least a possibility that we'll get some rain out of the storm's remnants (if there is any left) as early as next Thursday. That would happen after the wet weather crawls up the Mississippi and Ohio river valleys, and drifts north eastward to our forecast area.
The best solution would be to turn the rain back toward western portions of the Carolinas and North Georgia, where they desperately need it. Here's some speculation from Frank Strait, an AccuWeather.com blogger.
Here's a snippet from today's long-range discussion from Sterling:
"MUCH OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST REVOLVES AROUND TROPICAL STORM FAY.
THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON THE OFFICIAL TRACK GUIDANCE FROM TPC
ADVISORY NUMBER 24 FROM 11 AM TODAY. CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE
CENTER SOMEWHERE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY REGION BY 8
AM TUESDAY...WITH THE DETERMINISTIC FORECAST CENTER IN SOUTH CENTRAL
"FROM MIDWEEK ONWARD...HAVE CHOSEN TO FOLLOW THE EUROPEAN DEPICTION
FROM THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS...WITH REMNANTS OF FAY ADVANCING
NORTHWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. ARRIVAL OF DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE
SHOULD INCREASE CHANCES OF CONVECTION WEDNESDAY ACROSS WESTERN
ZONES...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY THURSDAY."
Why am I writing about Fay and what she may or may not be doing a week from now? Have you been outside? It's like Honolulu out there. Actually, it's way better than Honolulu! It's perfect. What's to write about?