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January 16, 2008

Snow in the morning

A new storm brewing in the Gulf of Mexico, and the relatively cold air in place in our region, should combine to bring us a bit of snow in the morning, forecasters say. But there's not a lot of hope - for those in need of a snow day - for any significant accumulations.

UPDATE: 4 p.m.:  Or maybe there is. The NWS has issued a WInter Weather Advisory that says the I-95 corridor could see up to an inch on the ground in the morning, with several inches to our west as the day wears on. Snow will change over to sleet, freezing rain and rain during the afternoon, but not as early as earlier forecasts (below) suggested.

EARLIER: The storm is spinning up in the northern Gulf today, and is expected to move across the Florida panhandle into the Atlantic, just off the Carolina coast, by tomorrow afternoon. That will supply the precipitation.

The cold air is already in place, with a forecast low tonight in the mid-20s. That will set the stage for snowfall in the morning hours, at least until temperatures start to warm up during the day. NWS forecasters at Sterling are saying it will be all snow until around 10 a.m., and mix with rain until about noon. By then enough warm air will have pushed into the region, and worked its way down to the surface, to change it all to rain.

The farther west you are - west of I-95 - the later the changeover will occur, they say. In any case, they're saying "little or no snow accumulation expected." But this is the sort of winter scenario that is notoriously hard to predict with confidence in these parts. So we could wake to slippery roads, or just wet.

The highest likelihood for prolonged wintry precip is in western Virginia. 

What we do know with some confidence is that there is a huge wedge of cold air plunging south out of arctic Canada that will, by late Friday, sink temperatures all across the eastern U.S. Our forecast calls for daytime highs of just 26 degrees by Sunday, and overnight lows in the teens. The Monday holiday will be cold, with a high in the low 30s, and an overnight low around 20 degrees.

They're calling it "the coldest air mass of the season." And it looks pretty cold for Des Moines, Iowa. We won't get that cold, but check your fuel oil levels and dig out the longjohns. It's gonna be brisk.

 

Posted by Frank Roylance at 12:15 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Winter weather
        

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page.

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