So much for the big weekend storm. Forecasters have been revising their forecasts in favor of mostly rain in the I-95 corridor of Maryland this weekend. All hopes for a pre-Christmas snowstorm, and fears of a nasty ice storm, appear to have dissolved with the stubbornly mild temperatures.

Here's the official forecast. Here are the winter weather advisories, which still contain some ice worries for the mountains to our west, but little more than a touch of ice on the eastern slopes, or well to the north of Baltimore. Mostly, it just looks like a cold rain's gonna fall here. Even AccuWeather thinks so. Here's Dr. Sobel's take. In a word: Rain.

All of which speaks volumes about the hazards of forecasting "superstorms" and "Big Daddy's" for the mid-Atlantic five to seven days in advance. The science is just not good enough yet, that far out, to predict stuff like where the snow/rain line will drape across Maryland.

We'll probably continue to highlight folks like Henry Margusity and his long, long-range forecasts here because they're fun, and they get us to pay attention to potentially significant weather possibilities on the horizon. But we have to remember to take them with a bucket of salt.