baltimoresun.com

« Hang in there. Sunshine en route | Main | Sunday snow talk persists »

November 27, 2007

AccuWeather's Margusity sees snow

Might there be some snow in the air this weekend? AccuWeather's extreme weather blogger Henry Margusity thinks so. He's looking at a fairly intense storm brewing in the Rockies and predicting it will become a strong coastal storm by this weekend. He thinks it will barrel up the East Coast, knock into some pretty cold entrenched air here and drop some snow and ice on the mid-Atlantic on Sunday before everything changes to rain.

If he's right, it would be the first significant winter storm of the season. It would also reinforce some of the seasonal forecasts that predicted most of our wintry weather this year would come in December, to be followed by a very mild "La Nina" January and February.

If he's wrong, it would provide brickbats for those who see Margusity as a conduit for winter weather scares and hype, of the sort that boosts online traffic counts. And here I am, contributing to that.

Anyway, he says he'll be posting a snow map forecast at 8:30 tonight. We'll just have to wait and see how well he does with it.

In the meantime, our NWS forecasters out at Sterling, Va., looking at the same model pedictions, think the storm will move up the Ohio Valley rather than reforming offshore and coming up the coast. That would give us warmer temperatures. They see rain falling on Sunday, after an overnight low of 28. They're posting only "snow showers" for Sunday night. The chances for either rain or snow are put at 50 percent.

CapitalWeather.com has this take on the snow threat, which they give only a 20 percent shot: "Minor Event -- Some accumulation. Untreated roads hazardous, slick spots possible on treated roads during heavy precipitation. (Winter weather advisory criteria, dusting to two inches)"

Everybody is looking for sharply colder weather later next week.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 1:46 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Winter weather
        

Post a comment

All comments must be approved by the blog author. Please do not resubmit comments if they do not immediately appear. You are not required to use your full name when posting, but you should use a real e-mail address. Comments may be republished in print, but we will not publish your e-mail address. Our full Terms of Service are available here.

Verification (needed to reduce spam):

About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page.

Follow @froylance on Twitter
-- ADVERTISEMENT --

#mdsnow Twitter updates
Maryland Weather Center
WJZ Weather Forecast
Area Weather Stations
Resources and Sun coverage
• Weather news

• Readers' photos

• Data from the The Sun's weather station

• 2010 stargazers' calendar

• Become a backyard astronomer in five simple steps

• Baltimore Weather Archive
Daily airport weather data for Baltimore from 1948 to today

• National Weather Service:
Sterling Forecast Office

• Capital Weather Gang:
Washington Post weather blog

• CoCoRaHS:
Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network. Local observations by volunteers

• Weather Bug:
Webcams across the state

• National Data Buoy Center:
Weather and ocean data from bay and ocean buoys

• U.S. Drought Monitor:
Weekly maps of drought conditions in the U.S.

• USGS Earthquake Hazards Program:
Real-time data on earthquakes

• Water data:
From the USGS, Maryland

• National Hurricane Center

• Air Now:
Government site for air quality information

• NWS Climate Prediction Center:
Long-term and seasonal forecasts

• U.S. Climate at a Glance:
NOAA interactive site for past climate data, national, state and city

• Clear Sky Clock:
Clear sky alerts for stargazers

• NASA TV:
Watch NASA TV

• Hubblesite:
Home page for Hubble Space Telescope

• Heavens Above:
Everything for the backyard stargazer, tailored to your location

• NASA Eclipse Home Page:
Centuries of eclipse predictions

• Cruise Critic: Hurricane Zone:
Check to see how hurricanes may affect your cruise schedule
Most Recent Comments
Blog updates
Recent updates to baltimoresun.com news blogs
 Subscribe to this feed
Charm City Current
Stay connected