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A dose of rain here; snow in the mountains

There's change in the wind today. All this mild air, which is the reason for our foggy mornings, is about to be booted out by rain, colder air, and even snow to our west.

Visibilities will improve slowly today, but we may never shake the clouds before a new batch rolls in from the west with the approach of a strong cold front. Forecasters expect the rain will arrive late tonight, perhaps not until after midnight. They're expecting as much as a half-inch overnight and another half-inch tomorrow. The front comes complete with strong, gusty winds and even the possibility of a thunderstorm or two.

Rain may linger into the morning Thursday, with the possibility of snow showers in the mountains of western Maryland. And temperatures will not advance much, if at all, from the overnight low around 50 degrees. Today's highs in the 60s may be the last we see for quite a while. The forecast calls for no more than seasonable highs near 50 into next week, with lows in the 30s. 

As temperatures fall Thursday night, the lake-effect snow showers in the west may begin to accumulate. As much as an inch is possible by Friday morning in Cumberland, with up to six inches (!) in Frostburg and some of the higher peaks. You can watch it fall here.

Forecast is iffy for Saturday night/Sunday morning and the peak of the annual Leonid meteor shower. More on that later as the picture clears.

Forecasters are being coy about next week. They say this morning that computer "models and ensembles have backed off with potential storm early next week." But there's at least a chance that we could see some wintry weather. The bloggers at Capital Weather  are already toying with their readers on the subject. I would never do that.

LATEST: 6 PM Weds.: Forecasters at Sterling say their models are "NO LONGER ADVERTISING A COASTAL LOW FOR MONDAY NIGHT SO KEEPING A DRY FORECAST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK."

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page.
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