baltimoresun.com

« Space Station flyover Thursday night | Main | Rain amounts still light, but ... »

October 24, 2007

Well, we've done it again

It's a running joke in the newsroom that when Roylance writes a weather trend story - about, say, the lack of rain or snow - the trend will come screeching to a halt. I'm a regular trend-killer. Don't like the weather? Get Roylance to write about it. Game over.

One look at the forecast shows it's happened again.

Last Friday, my editors sent word (I was off; worked the previous Sunday) that they wanted a "forward-looking" story for Tuesday on the deepening drought. On Monday, I checked the forecasts for the week, interviewed the experts, and on Tuesday we ran a front page story about the drought. Forecasters saw "no relief in sight" for the region, we reported. While there were showers in the offing for late Tuesday and Wednesday, Sterling was saying they wouldn't amount to more than a quarter inch at best. That's not drought relief.

Well, the long-range forecast - for dry weather continuing through the winter - hasn't changed. But the short-term forecast NOW shows a whole lot more than a quarter inch in the cards for Marylanders. It hasn't amounted to much at this writing, just a few hundredths of an inch here on the WeatherDeck in Cockeysville. But Sterling's current forecast for the rest of the week suggests we could get as much as three inches before this slow-moving cold front finally shoves off.

Thanks guys... The rain is being fueled by a low-pressure center to our south and west. It's pumping warm, moist Gulf air northward into the drought-stricken Southeast states, including us.

The best chances for rain - if THIS forecast holds up - come today and tonight, with a 70 percent likelihood we'll get precipitation. There's more due Friday and early Saturday, "Expect Baltimore/Washington urban areas to receive 1 to 3 inches of beneficial rainfall through Saturday," forecasters are saying this morning. Three inches would be enough, with what's already fallen this month, to give us normal October rainfall. Go figure.

In the western portion of the Sterling forecast region - down in western Virginia - they could see 4 to 6 inches of rain and urban flooding if warmer air triggers thunderstorms. The grain farmers are going to love this. It may not be the end of the drought. We are still short of water in the ground and in the reservoirs. But it is most certainly significant relief.

So, you're welcome. Now maybe I'll do a story about how little snow we can expect this winter.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 7:47 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Forecasts
        

Post a comment

All comments must be approved by the blog author. Please do not resubmit comments if they do not immediately appear. You are not required to use your full name when posting, but you should use a real e-mail address. Comments may be republished in print, but we will not publish your e-mail address. Our full Terms of Service are available here.

Verification (needed to reduce spam):

About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
-- ADVERTISEMENT --

Sign up for FREE weather alerts*
Get free Baltimore Sun mobile alerts
Sign up for weather text alerts
SKY NOTES WEATHER

Returning user? Update preferences.
Sign up for more Sun text alerts
*Standard message and data rates apply. Click here for Frequently Asked Questions.
Maryland Weather Center


Area Weather Stations
Resources and Sun coverage
• Weather news

• Readers' photos

• Data from the The Sun's weather station

• 2011 stargazers' calendar

• Become a backyard astronomer in five simple steps

• Baltimore Weather Archive
Daily airport weather data for Baltimore from 1948 to today

• National Weather Service:
Sterling Forecast Office

• Capital Weather Gang:
Washington Post weather blog

• CoCoRaHS:
Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network. Local observations by volunteers

• Weather Bug:
Webcams across the state

• National Data Buoy Center:
Weather and ocean data from bay and ocean buoys

• U.S. Drought Monitor:
Weekly maps of drought conditions in the U.S.

• USGS Earthquake Hazards Program:
Real-time data on earthquakes

• Water data:
From the USGS, Maryland

• National Hurricane Center

• Air Now:
Government site for air quality information

• NWS Climate Prediction Center:
Long-term and seasonal forecasts

• U.S. Climate at a Glance:
NOAA interactive site for past climate data, national, state and city

• Clear Sky Clock:
Clear sky alerts for stargazers

• NASA TV:
Watch NASA TV

• Hubblesite:
Home page for Hubble Space Telescope

• Heavens Above:
Everything for the backyard stargazer, tailored to your location

• NASA Eclipse Home Page:
Centuries of eclipse predictions

• Cruise Critic: Hurricane Zone:
Check to see how hurricanes may affect your cruise schedule

• Warming World:
NASA explains the science of climate change with articles, videos, “data visualizations,” and space-based imagery.

• What on Earth:
NASA blog on current research at the space agency.
Most Recent Comments
Blog updates
Recent updates to baltimoresun.com news blogs
 Subscribe to this feed
Charm City Current
Stay connected