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October 26, 2007

Some light reading as the rain falls

Here's a little something to read as your gutters gurgle tonight, some exerpts from Monday evening's weather forecast discussion by the NWS folks out at Sterling.

"WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY: After two days of confusion, models seem to come into line regarding what will happen in the mid part of the week. Unfortunately ... a multi-day rain does not look to be in the cards as was earlier foreseen ... Models are now in decent agreement that a front will push through the region Tuesday night with high Canadian pressure moving over New England by Thursday. Could clouds linger on Wednesday if the front gets held up? Certainly. But for now will be more optimistic and go partly cloudy ... Southern low pressure, which could've given us chances of rain for much of the week ... now appears to be retrograding towards Texas. This is not something I'm used to seeing ... but that's what the model consensus is showing, so that's what we'll go with."

Oops. Rain so far at BWI:

TUESDAY: 0.01 inch

WEDNESDAY: 0.88 inch

THURSDAY: 0.43 inch

FRIDAY: 0.73 inch (through 4 p.m.)

Multi-day rain total so far: 2.05 inches 

Current discussion from Sterling:

"RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO LWR SRN MD AT THIS
TIME. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW IN
THE URBAN CORRIDOR AS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO DRAW
NORTHWARD BETWEEN UPPER LOW OVER MO AND WRN ATLC RIDGE. SVRL
INGREDIENTS REMAIN IN PLACE THAT COULD LEAD TO INTENSE RAINFALL
RATES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME URBAN FLOODING. SO THE FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE FROM FREDERICKSBURG NORTHEAST THROUGH
BALTIMORE. IN GENERAL...ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED IN
THE WATCH AREA WITH UP TO AN INCH WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE."

Posted by Frank Roylance at 4:51 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Forecasts
        

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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