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September 19, 2007

Storm brewing for Florida, Gulf

It doesn't show much sign of developing into a tropical storm, although that remains a possibility. But the storm brewing over the Atlantic just east of the Florida peninsula is expected to drift westward, bringing heavy rains to the north-central part of the state before it moves into the Gulf of Mexico. Doesn't look like this will benefit us anytime soon. But AccuWeather's Joe Bastardi is looking for it to strengthen in the Gulf and threaten La. and Tex. Here's Joe on video.

Here's the satellite image. And here's the discussion from the National Hurricane Center:

"A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA AND A UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA ARE PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...NORTHERN BAHAMAS...AND THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT
THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR A
TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA AND INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
BRING SHOWERS...SQUALLS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTION
OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MOSAIC DOPPLER RADAR FROM
THE SE US SHOWS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
TSTMS ROTATING CYCLONICALLY MAINLY OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALONG SOUTH FLORIDA EAST COAST."

Posted by Frank Roylance at 10:37 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: Hurricanes
        

Comments

fall is nice, but any idea if we will have snow before the year is out? Also, how is 2008 sounding. I'd really like a blizzard
(taking cover now!)

I really like a good blizzard, too. It reminds us that Nature is still in charge. Unfortunately, while anything is possible, the odds are we're looking at another mild winter. The long-range forecast for December, January and February calls for warmer-than-normal temperatures and dry-to-normal precipitation. Blame La Nina, that periodic cooling of surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. They generally mean dry, mild weather in the Southeast. Too bad. We haven't had more than normal winter snowfall in B'more since 2003.

For the seasonal forecast: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead04/off_index.html

For Baltimore snow stats: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/climate/bwi/bwisnow.txt

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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