Why so dry at BWI?
The WeatherBlog continues to receive quite a number of notes and queries regarding what looks to some to be a skewed - or at least curious - lack of precipitation on the official National Weather Service instruments at BWI-Marshall Airport. Writers insist that their own observations - some anecdotal, some recorded on home rain gauges - are often/usually higher than those at the airport.
We have posted some of these notes from readers. And, we have passed along at least one theory, suggesting that - particularly when wet weather systems move in from the Atlantic as they did during the heavy rains here at the end of June - the rising terrain from the coastal plain (where BWI sits) to the Piedmont forces the wet air to rise. That cools the air temperature and causes some of the moisture to condense, increasing total rainfall on the higher inland terrain.
Here's another theory, from Jack Wennerstrom, of Randallstown. He draws on the same sort of physics, but sees it from another perspective:
"Most parts of western and northern Baltimore County sit higher than Baltimore City. The difference can be dramatic: at Soldier's Delight, a nearby natural area, the Visitor Center is at 726 feet above sea level, as is a nearby hill. For evidence, walk just to the west of the center, at Red Dog Lodge, and gaze westward, and downward, into Carroll County. In the long-ago days when all these hills were clear-cut for timber, from here you could see the Blue Ridge to the west and the Chesapeake Bay to the east.
"Due to uplift and the relative erosion-resistance of the hard surface rock ... this area and others are noticeably higher than the coastal plain ... that they abut. Indeed, they form a series of hills and low ridges that roughly constitute the so-called 'fall-line' on a southwest-northeast axis paralleling Route 1.
"My point is that this line of hills, which come to surround Baltimore west and north, produce a kind of 'mini-rain shadow' effect, whereby west-to-east approaching rain clouds tend to drop their rain on the windward (western) sides of the ridges (as well as the crests), leaving less or little for the lee sides (Baltimore's coastal plain), a phenomenon well-known and more dramatic in lofty western Maryland.
"The result? I believe our annual rainfall here in Randallstown, and surrounding Pikesville, Granite, and Owings Mills is, on average, four to ten inches more than at BWI, which sits on the coastal plain lee, or 'mini-rain'shadow.' I base my estimate on 20 years of observation, taking notice of official rainfalls here and in these nearby communities. There is a mitigating factor in that rainstorms from the northeast or south, which are much rarer, are not affected by this rain-shadow factor - otherwise the difference would be even higher. Many is the time that I have noted rainfalls of 2, 3 or more inches here in the Randallstown, owings Mills, Pikesville region, while little or none fell at BWI. It is very rarely the other way around.
"So ... the BWI rainfall stats are misleading to a large percentage of the Baltimore-area residents. I know of no one else who holds this theory or has even mentioned the possibility of its existence."
Readers? What do you think?








Comments
Sounds plausible but recent weather station data at my employer (http://www.jhuapl.edu/weather/main/index.html) can't confirm it. The weather station at APL is about 20 miles west of BWI and 294 ft higher yet average annual precip for the last 10 years shows BWI averaging almost 1" more per year. BWI annual precip totals beat or essentially tied APL's total for 6 years out of the last 10.
K-
Posted by: Kem White | August 7, 2006 1:52 PM
At my personal weather station located in Ellicott City, http://oldlineweather.com , I find that my precipitation data can be +/- 2 inches monthly compared to KBWI however, yearly stats show that it's normally within an inch or so.
Gordon
Posted by: Gordon Clarkson | August 7, 2006 2:35 PM
LESS THAN 1/2 INCH OF RAIN AT BWI MARCH 4 AND 5 TELL THEM OPEN PART OF RAIN GAUGE POINTS UP ,COME ON
Posted by: DAVID REASNER | March 7, 2008 4:51 PM
I LIVE IN KEYMAR, MD. MEASURE MY OWN RAIN FALL HAD 7.1 IN. OF RAIN IN APRIL WELL ABOVE BWI TOTAL AGAIN, BWI BEING OFFICAL RAIN FALL TOTALS FOR MARYLAND NEVER REFLECTS TRUE RAIN FALL TOTALS FOR STATE.REFER TO BLOG WHY SO DRY AT BWI,MAYBE WE SHOULD SITE TO A MORE ACCURATE AREA
Posted by: DAVID REASNER | May 1, 2008 6:45 AM
DAVID: First, the NWS observation station at BWI is not the official station for Maryland, only for Baltimore. And no one expects that it would be representative of the whole state. Our readings at Calvert & Centre streets downtown suggest that BWI isn't even very representative of the city proper. Weather stations are valuable for their accumulated archive of conditions and trends for one location, not for their ability to reflect the weather across an entire state.
Maryland's climate varies widely from OC to Oakland. Garrett County had over 80 inches of snow this past winter. BWI had 8.
Second, April's rainfall consisted mainly of very localized showers and thunderstorms, so you have to expect wide variations in totals across fairly small distances. Your readings in Keymar are a good example of that.
As the "Why so dry BWI?" post suggests, BWI does seem to be drier than other nearby locations, such as the higher elevations to the north and west of Baltimore, and there may be good scientific explanations for that.
But I think it would be incorrect to suggest that there is something "wrong" with the BWI station. It is one of the most accurate and best-maintained in the state. And it has a very long, consistent archive which is invaluable to meteorologists.
Posted by: frank roylance | May 1, 2008 7:58 AM