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Wet days ahead

Boy, we couldn't catch a break today. Rain to our north, rain to our south, but here in Bawlmer ? Nothin'.  But don't take it too hard. It appears that Ernesto will come to our rescue. The storm's exact path remains uncertain. But the chances we'll get a soaking of some dimension seem good. Here's AccuWeather's take. And here's the NWS forecast.

And notice the high temperatures forecast for the balance of the week:  70s?  Woo Hoo! We've had precisely two days since June 25 that failed to reach 80 degrees. Now we're in line for at least five of them. This is apparently due to the advancing influence of Ernesto - more clouds and a more easterly flow off the ocean will consign these 90-plus days to the ashheap of history. Nineties in September are not unexpected, but they are mercifully few.

Comments

You expect me to believe any forecast at this point? What happened to the forecast from Monday that predicted pleasant sunny days?? Surely this small tropical storm could not have changed the entire forecast, now could it?? And by the way, they don't call it INAccuweather for nothing!!

So why couldn't a tropical storm change a forecast issued five days before the event? Happens all the time. If writing this blog has taught me anything, it's that the weather service forecast changes hour to hour. They're always revising and rethinking what they're predicting, based on new information, new analyses. Drives me crazy. But it's meteorology, not orbital mechanics.

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About Frank Roylance
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page.
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