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Comments
This season is not going to live up to the expectations of the experts Frank. Regardless of whether TD 5 becomes Ernesto or not.
The 90 day SOI average is currently very negative and climatological history tells us that the Atlantic basin does not see way above average activity during these time frames.
So we have a battle going on between the favorable AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation ) and the developing EL Nino. Whose development I have been touting for the past few months.
The El Nino seems to be winning here in my opinion. At least from the point of keeping the pre season forecasts from reaching their goal. No hurricanes yet. Just tropical storms.
Posted by: Jim Hughes | August 25, 2006 2:57 PM