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January 26, 2006

It only seems cold

Quit complaining, Baltimore. We've been spoiled. Actually, the weather yesterday and today has been pretty close to normal for this time of year - warmer, even. And from here through the weekend, we will likely return to the above-average temperatures we've seen throughout the month of January. Here's how it shakes out:

After the cold front blew through, Tuesday produced a high of 49 degrees at BWI and a low of 29. That yields an average of 39 degrees, which is 7 degrees above normal for the date. (The average high and low for Jan. 25 are 41 and 23 degrees.)

Wednesday's high was 43 and the low was 34. That, too, averages out to 39 degrees, also 7 degrees above average for the date. Warm, right?

The forecast high and low for today are 41 and 20, which is pretty darm close to normal (41 and 23). But even if it's a shade below normal, it would be just the second below-average day in the whole month. (The other was Jan. 7, when the high of 38 and the low of 21 put us a slim 2 degrees below average for the date. Every other day this month has been warmer than the 30-year average - 12 of them by double-digit-degree margins.) We're still running better than 9 degrees above normal for the month.

We had nice, clear skies today. Here's how we looked from space. And the weekend promises more (relatively) mild weather. They're calling for highs between 47 and 57 degrees through Monday, and lows from 26 to 38 degrees.

What's made it feel much colder, of course, has been the wind. It's been gusting to more than 30 mph at BWI, off and on, since Wednesday morning. Plus, we've grown used to the mild weather and to the lack of snow that's persisted since mid-December.

There's no snow in the forecast, either. If that holds through Tuesday - and it should - we'll close the month with no more than a trace of snow at Baltimore-Washington International Airport. As we've noted here before, that would make January 2006 only the sixth January since 1883 to end with no measureable snowfall for Baltimore at all. (There was no snow, period, in January 1937. And they measured only a trace four other times - in January 1913, 1914, 1934 and 1973.)

So, we've apparently slipped unscathed through what is typically the coldest, snowiest month of the year in Baltimore. February could bring a harsh shift in the weather. But the statistics, at least are with us.

Posted by Frank Roylance at 11:52 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: By the numbers
        

Comments

from www.NOAA.gov this morning

THE LOCATION OF THE SECONDARY
DEVELOPMENT WILL HAVE A BIG IMPACT ON THE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY
FORECAST. 00Z GFS WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT WOULD
COMMENCE OVER EASTERN NC. THIS WOULD ALLOW THE COLD AIR TO COME
RUSHING BACK SOUTHWARD AND GIVE THE POTENTIAL FOR FROZEN WINTER
PRECIP. PREVIOUS RUN IS WEAKER AND FURTHER NORTH WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT AND WOULD KEEP PCPN IN THE FORM OF RAIN. FOR NOW HAVE
FORTIFIED THE POPS A BIT FOR MON NIGHT/TUE AND HAVE NOT MADE ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE WEATHER GRIDS. SNOW WILL HAVE TO BE
CONSIDERED EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS IF MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE

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About Frank Roylance
This site is the Maryland Weather archive. The current Maryland Weather blog can be found here.
Frank Roylance is a reporter for The Baltimore Sun. He came to Baltimore from New Bedford, Mass. in 1980 to join the old Evening Sun. He moved to the morning Sun when the papers merged in 1992, and has spent most of his time since covering science, including astronomy and the weather. One of The Baltimore Sun's first online Web logs, the Weather Blog debuted in October 2004. In June 2006 Frank also began writing comments on local weather and stargazing for The Baltimore Sun's print Weather Page. Frank also answers readers’ weather queries for the newspaper and the blog. Frank Roylance retired in October 2011. Maryland Weather is now being updated by members of The Baltimore Sun staff
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