First flakes were flying in Towson by 9:40 a.m. today. That seemed quite late given the forecasts yesterday of a post-midnight start and an inch of snow by morning. But it's coming down pretty fast right now (10:45 a.m.).

Before the snow got rolling this morning, fellow weather blogger David Gerstman slid out on a limb and predicted this whole storm might fizzle. He is looking at radar images that seem to have all the clouds and moisture moving out to sea off the Carolinas. Water vapor images might suggest the same.

My guess is that when the low intensifies out there, like most Nor'easters this one will spin up and throw a lot of new energy and moisture into the machinery, and move it back onshore on the backside of the storm - from the northeast, of course.

We'll see. But locations to our south and west are already reporting significant accumulations. Staunton, Va. has had more than 6 inches.